In the midst of industry development dilemmas, unlocking breakthroughs hinges on tapping into emerging markets. Beyond those contributing significantly to the surge in solar PV installations, attention is now turning to novel markets, becoming focal points for energy storage enterprises. As the energy storage industry expands, market entities are expanding in tandem, with a gaze fixed on the horizon of 2024.
According to TrendForce projections, the outlook is promising, anticipating new ESS installations to soar to 71GW/167GWh, marking a robust 36% and 43% year-on-year increase. The growth trajectory remains notably high in Europe and Asia, while the pace in the Americas shows a moderation. Notably, the pinnacle of performance is observed in the growth of ESS installations.
Projections for new installations of ESS around the world in 2024
In terms of incremental changes, the market share in major players like China, the U.S., and Europe remains steadfast, while certain regions boast commendable upticks, exemplified by Israel, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. Today, our focus is on unfolding the narrative of energy storage development in Israel—an emerging market with a tale of its own.
Change is inevitable, and the energy transition stands as the pivotal pathway.
TrendForce foresees a staggering growth rate of over 200% in solar PV installations, propelled by the impending grid connection of large-scale bidding projects. As a swiftly developing economic force in the Middle East, Israel finds itself in a unique position—a nation without direct power connections to its neighbors, effectively an isolated energy island.
Currently, Israel relies heavily on fossil fuels, with gas and coal constituting over 90% of its power mix. Faced with the challenges of traditional energy dependence and the imperative for energy transition, Israel urgently seeks to secure independent energy sources. Consequently, the development of renewable energy emerges as a crucial strategic move towards achieving sustainable development.
Moreover, the volatility in Israel’s power generation costs is intricately tied to the global trading prices of fossil fuels. In a proactive move to swiftly break free from the shackles of global fossil fuel price fluctuations and enhance control over energy expenditures, Israel is significantly boosting the allocated share for renewable energy installations while vigorously advancing its renewable energy sector.
Energy Plans in Israel
As of February 2022, the Israeli Ministry of Environment unveiled an ambitious renewable energy roadmap, aiming to achieve a 40% share of renewables in the country's power mix by 2030. This bold objective entails the installation of 18 GW to 23 GW of solar projects, coupled with 5.5 GW / 33 GWh of storage capacity. The surge in renewable energy sources and a heightened commitment to advancing the green and low-carbon transformation of the power system in Israel have intensified the need for diverse energy storage constructions.
In the realm of carbon reduction, Israel has set an ambitious target for installed energy storage by 2050, aiming for 50GW/230GWh with an average storage duration of approximately 4.6 hours. Currently, as part of its energy strategy, Israel has crafted several promotional policies to expedite the energy transition, all geared towards attaining the lofty objective of energy independence. Furthermore, the nation is charting a course away from heavy reliance on traditional fossil fuels, envisioning a revamped power structure centered on solar PV, a move designed to enhance control over energy costs. Given this strategic shift, TrendForce anticipates that Israel's new energy storage installations will surge to 1.1GW/3.4GWh in 2024, marking an impressive year-on-year growth of 214% and 206%, respectively.
Projections for the capacity of ESS installations in Israel in 2024
Growth Trends: The surge in installations is predominantly led by utility-scale energy storage, while residential and C&I ESS installations maintain robust growth rates.
As previously mentioned, TrendForce anticipates that new energy storage installations in Israel will hit 1.1GW/3.4GWh in 2024, with utility-scale energy storage playing a dominant role in this increment. The analysis reveals that the energy storage growth from 2023 to 2024 is chiefly propelled by the solar PV energy storage bidding projects (33GWh) conducted in 2020 and 2021. Furthermore, the consecutive announcements of new energy storage bidding projects provide a solid foundation for the expansion of utility-scale energy storage installations in the local region. Undoubtedly, ESS bidding projects and subsidy policies will drive the demand for local energy storage development. However, due to Israel's limited local land and the scarcity of available grid infrastructure areas, there is a heightened demand for utility-scale solar PV power plant projects in energy storage installations. Consequently, it is anticipated that future utility-scale projects will primarily revolve around the installation of solar PV energy storage systems.
Turning our attention to residential and C&I energy storage, with power prices maintaining high levels, the implementation of additional tariff subsidies for energy storage in 2023, along with relaxed market regulations, will continue to fuel rapid growth in residential and C&I energy storage installations. As a result, post-2025, they are poised to claim a higher proportion in the overall energy mix.
Development Trends: Israel has emerged as a pivotal market for China's solar PV enterprises venturing into the global arena.
n the present landscape of deepened economic globalization, the dynamics of the world economy and the roles of individual countries are undergoing significant transformations. Additionally, with mainstream market demand showing signs of stabilization (referring to markets established earlier and growing rapidly), companies are faced with the challenge of not only securing existing orders from these markets but also actively seeking new opportunities in overseas territories.
At present, Israel holds substantial importance for China’s solar PV energy storage enterprises looking to expand globally. Leading domestic players such as Trina Solar, Jinko Solar, LONGi, Huawei, Power China, CATL, Sungrow Power, BYD, and others have established business partnerships or collaborations with local enterprises in Israel. Among them, Israel stands out as a key region for Sungrow Power's energy storage business. This reflects the ongoing trend of Chinese solar PV companies strategically navigating global markets, with Israel playing a crucial role in their international endeavors.
According to partial data, Sungrow Power has inked multiple agreements for ESS project installations in Israel since 2022:
-In January 2022, Sungrow Power secured a deal with Enlight Renewable Energy, the largest new energy company in Israel, for the installation of its flagship liquid-cooled energy storage system (ESS), amounting to 430 MWh—the largest ESS project in Israel.
-March 2022 witnessed Sungrow Power receiving an order to install a 64MWh battery energy storage system at the Dalia Power Station combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) power plant. This endeavor is geared towards emissions reduction and efficiency enhancement.
-In April 2022, Sungrow Power entered into a 66MW/253MWh energy storage contract with Doral Renewable Energy Resources Group, an Israeli renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure developer. The agreement mandates Sungrow Power to supply Doral with a 66MW/253MWh battery energy storage system, boasting slightly under four hours' duration.
-On March 3, 2023, Sungrow Power solidified its commitment by signing a battery storage supply agreement with Doral Renewable Energy Resources Group.
The international market stands out as a more lucrative arena, making it a crucial focal point for numerous Chinese companies looking to expand their energy storage ventures. The economic landscapes, policies, legal frameworks, religious and cultural nuances, as well as languages and customs vary across emerging markets, resulting in diverse requirements for the operations and products of energy storage companies.
In terms of project delivery, enterprises eyeing overseas expansion must possess the agility to swiftly adapt to the demands of local markets. In the current landscape where countries are hastening their energy transformation efforts, energy storage holds a strategic position of paramount importance, its significance and necessity beyond question. Presently, Israel has laid out a clear plan for energy storage installations and boasts specific subsidy policies aimed at stimulating demand growth. Consequently, the energy storage business in Israel is poised for rapid development, with expectations set for significant progress by 2024.