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Price Trend: Overseas Market Starts to Stock up for the 2019 New Year, and Market Transactions Continue to Heat up

published: 2018-12-20 17:03

Market conditions came to a climax this week amid strong demand in various markets. Upstream polysilicon and si-wafer manufacturers effectively controlled the supply-side output, making the prices stable; although the market condition of PV cells and modules benefited from the continuous increase in demand, the price has not changed too much because the long term order prices of large manufacturers were stable and small quantity order prices were gradually moving towards large manufacturers.

Overall, the market’s supply and demand is showing a positive trend. With the completion of grid connection in China, its future demand may show a slow decline; however, end-market demand will still be supported because the overseas market has started to stock up for the 2019 New Year.

Polysilicon

This week, polysilicon price continued last week’s stable situation. As the opening of new capacity and demand increased at the same time, mono-si material price remained flat; multi-si materials were also driven by demand, resulting in de-stocking. So far, domestic multi-si material price has been RMB71-79/KG, with the average price rising to RMB76/KG; mono-si material price has been RMB80-83/KG. Overseas price has remained at USD8.5-10.2/KG.

Si-wafer

Demand for si-wafer was still strong this week, but its price has not seen much gain. China’s domestic market demand for mono-si wafer began to slow down, and the overseas market stocked up before the 2019 New Year. For multi-si wafer, cash trading was the focus, causing a small price bargaining space. So far, domestic mono-si price has remained at RMB3.05-3.10/Pc. Multi-si price has been RMB2.05-2.20/Pc, with the average price dropping to RMB2.11/Pc. Black silicon product price has remained at RMB2.25/Pc. Overseas mono-si and multi-si wafer prices have not changed. Mono-si wafer price has remained at USD0.380-0.390/Pc. Multi-si price has been USD0.255-0.280/Pc. Black silicon product price has remained at USD0.305/Pc.

PV cell

The PV cell market boom continued, and the production schedule of first-tier manufacturers could extend until the end of January. Demand for multi-si products in domestic China began to slow down, but there are still some overseas market demand to support the local manufacturers. Mono-si demand was globally buoyant, and it is estimated that this momentum will have a chance to continue till next year.

So far, domestic general multi-si price has remained at RMB0.81-0.88/W. General mono-si price has been maintained at RMB1.00-1.08/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has increased to RMB1.18-1.25/W, with the average price rising to RMB1.20/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>21.5%) price has remained at RMB1.20-1.30/W, with the average price rising to RMB1.28/W. Overseas general multi-si price has remained at USD0.102-0.130/W, with the average price growing to USD0.110/W. General mono-si price has remained at USD0.135-0.155/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has increased to USD0.160-0.173/W, with the average price growing to USD0.170/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>21.5%) price has remained at USD0.170-0.178/W. Double-sided PV cell price has remained at above RMB1.32/W.

Module

This week the module market maintained stable trading, and the main orders have already been delivered. There were few small quantity orders, making it hard to change the price on the market. So far, domestic general multi-si (270-275W) price has remained at RMB1.78-1.85/W. High-efficiency multi-si (280-285W) price has remained at RMB1.80-1.93/W. General mono-si (290-295W) price has remained at RMB1.83-1.96/W. High-efficiency mono-si (300-305W) price has remained at RMB2.10-2.20/W. Ultra-high efficiency mono-si (>310W) price has remained at above RMB2.22/W. Overseas general multi-si price has remained at USD0.205-0.265/W. High-efficiency multi-si price has remained at USD0.210-0.275/W. General mono-si price has remained at USD0.242-0.360/W. High-efficiency mono-si price has remained at USD0.265-0.380/W.

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